Semiconductor manufacturers are developing other solid-state technologies, some of which could succeed flash and other forms of solid-state memory in the not-too-distant future.
451 Research provides computer memory analysis at computerweekly.
Chip makers have been approaching the limits to which they can reduce NAND flash manufacturing process sizes for some time.
In 2013, the time span for that forecast was effectively delayed for five or six years by Samsung’s announcement it had begun volume production of NAND flash chips featuring a 3D internal architecture.
Flash prices are now widely expected to continue to descend at about the same rate as they have been for the last few years.
This will continue until the process size for 3D NAND flash has reached about 10nm at around the end of this decade. At that point, the consensus is there will be little or no prospect of reducing NAND flash costs further.
451 Research believes eventual flash replacement will not happen until well into the next decade.
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451 Research provides computer memory analysis at computerweekly.
Chip makers have been approaching the limits to which they can reduce NAND flash manufacturing process sizes for some time.
In 2013, the time span for that forecast was effectively delayed for five or six years by Samsung’s announcement it had begun volume production of NAND flash chips featuring a 3D internal architecture.
Flash prices are now widely expected to continue to descend at about the same rate as they have been for the last few years.
This will continue until the process size for 3D NAND flash has reached about 10nm at around the end of this decade. At that point, the consensus is there will be little or no prospect of reducing NAND flash costs further.
451 Research believes eventual flash replacement will not happen until well into the next decade.
Read more »
