Ian Bremmer is the president and founder of Eurasia Group, a global political risk research and consulting firm and he gives his views on the situation with Russia and the Ukraine.
1) The West's direct response. Ian Bremmer sees basically no response just like when Russia invaded Georgia.
2) International complications from Russia. Russia can complicate things with Iran and Syria. If Russia /Putin is pushed hard enough he can create a lot of mischief
3) Geopolitical shift. Russia will see its key opportunity as closing ranks more tightly with China.
The International Business Times is indicating that China is backing Russia in some statements on the Crimea.
Sanctions
If the West could organize crippling sanctions on Russia then Putin would have a lot of trouble. If the US could get crippling sanctions on Russia they probably could force a change. Sanctions help bring down the Soviet Union and Russia is weaker than the Soviet Union.
But it seems that weakness goes both ways. It seems that effective sanctions will not happen.
The UK Telegraph believes that European dependence on Russian natural gas will prevent effective sanctions.
The UK appears prepared to rule out trade sanctions.
Read more »
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1) The West's direct response. Ian Bremmer sees basically no response just like when Russia invaded Georgia.
2) International complications from Russia. Russia can complicate things with Iran and Syria. If Russia /Putin is pushed hard enough he can create a lot of mischief
3) Geopolitical shift. Russia will see its key opportunity as closing ranks more tightly with China.
The International Business Times is indicating that China is backing Russia in some statements on the Crimea.
Sanctions
If the West could organize crippling sanctions on Russia then Putin would have a lot of trouble. If the US could get crippling sanctions on Russia they probably could force a change. Sanctions help bring down the Soviet Union and Russia is weaker than the Soviet Union.
But it seems that weakness goes both ways. It seems that effective sanctions will not happen.
The UK Telegraph believes that European dependence on Russian natural gas will prevent effective sanctions.
The UK appears prepared to rule out trade sanctions.
Read more »
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Image may be NSFW.Clik here to view.
Image may be NSFW.Clik here to view.
Image may be NSFW.Clik here to view.
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